Showing posts with label supply and demand. Show all posts
Showing posts with label supply and demand. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

FARM POLICY

Founder, Project C.U.R.E.
Author, The Happiest Man in the World: Life Lessons from a Cultural Economist


If you eat, you are a part of America’s agribusiness. I have chosen to use the agribusiness system to demonstrate our often discussed maxim that transformation takes place at the intersection of culture and economics. It is also my intention to share here, just as an example, how our government’s political habit of intervention into our systems invades and destructively interferes with our basic economic principle of free enterprise.

Along the way, we may even discover that the further we wander from the simplicity of the market forces, the further we move away from effective and responsible allocation of our economic resources. Marx never got it right, and FDR couldn’t get it right. A centralized governmental economic system of redistribution, quite simply, has never been successful.

Our government has subsidized agriculture since the 1930s with farm policies that include: (1) propped up farm prices, and subsidized incomes, (2) agriculture-related research, (3) farm credit, (4) water and soil programs, (5) crop insurance, and (6) giant subsidies on the sales of farm products into world markets.

Roosevelt’s Agricultural Adjustment Act of 1933 was predicated on the assumption of the parity concept: if a farmer could take a bushel of corn to town in 1912 and sell it for enough money to buy a shirt, he should be able to sell a bushel of corn on any day and buy the shirt. The security of that logic really appealed to the farm families. They would vote for FDR forever. The relationship between the prices received by farmers for their output and the prices they must pay for goods and services would always remain the same. If the price of shirts tripled over time, then their price of corn would be guaranteed to triple also.

That bought Roosevelt the votes, but it didn’t buy him a Nobel Prize in economics or logic. Economists through the years have uniformly rejected the parity notion. There is no sound reasoning in the proposition that if a bushel of corn could buy a shirt in 1912, it should still be able to buy a shirt several decades later. The relative value of goods and services is established by supply and demand. When technology changes, or new resources or products come to the market, or styles or tastes change, those relative values also change over time.

In the 1980s you could buy a modestly-equipped, new automobile for the same amount of money that it would take you to purchase a well- equipped computer. But a decade later everything had changed. Certainly, neither the computer company nor the car company would vote for the parity concept.

It did, however, require the government to arbitrarily set price floors on farm products. Those minimum prices were called price supports. Just like Russia’s Gosplan, that approach failed miserably. So, our government simply established above-equilibrium price supports for farm products. That means that the government just ignored what the real world would pay for the products and went ahead with paying the farmers the hyper price. Oops. That really didn’t work.

The farmers dug in and began producing in excess because the government guaranteed that they would get paid for all they could produce at the ballooned prices. They now had money the government had paid them to place more of their land into production, excavate their land so that it would produce larger yields, buy fertilizer and better seed. Meat growers, milk producers, and poultry farmers could improve their operations so they could all produce more.

Huge surpluses were created. In the real world of economics when there are surpluses of a product the prices fall, consumers purchase the excess production at a reduced price, and the market quickly levels out. But, the government was obligated to pay the farmers not only the above-equilibrium price, but had to pay for transportation to move the crops around. They also had to pay for storage of the surplus . . . and there were more and more excessive harvests coming on!

The government was then forced to go to the public and raise taxes to cover their own ignorance. The government’s administrative costs exploded as they endeavored to manipulate the programs. The farmers formed lobby groups to protect the good thing they had going. The marginal costs of the extra production far exceeded the marginal benefit to anyone in the society because the product price to the consumer could not be lowered even though there was surplus going to waste.

Since the product price could not be lowered, the U.S. consumers were paying a premium. That made our agricultural markets very attractive to foreign producers, who enjoyed getting in on the premium amounts being paid. The U.S. then had to quickly impose import barriers, tariffs, and trade quotas.

So the Roosevelt Gosplan came up with a brilliant idea. They could save millions of dollars of administration, transportation, storage, and other program-support costs if the farmers would simply stop growing so many crops. But it was impossible to simply stop the whole craziness and let the free enterprise system straighten out the mess. They could not run the risk of making the farmers angry and lose a full twenty-five percent of the national vote. So, they decided to pay the farmers to not grow the crops, and the payments would be based on what they had been growing the past year. Oops.

In return for guaranteed prices for their crops, the farmers had to agree to limit the number of acres they planted in that certain crop. That was referred to as acreage allotments.

(I’m terribly sorry, but I must share with you the picture I am seeing in my mind. I am chortling to myself as I write this piece. We are so critical of Marx, Lenin, and Joseph Stalin and their Gosplan, but in this scene all the same people are sitting around all the same tables, with their heads all pointed into the group. They don’t have computers or calculators so there are reams of paper on the floors and on the tables as they try to figure out the Gosplan formula by using long division and multiplication with short, stubby pencils. The difference is that some are dressed in green Russian military uniforms and some are in ties, nice dresses and suits. Some are in Moscow, and some are in Washington, DC. All have a disdain for cultural and economic free choice, all are obsessed with the craze to totally control the economy, and all are running madly away from the concept of free enterprise.)

The policy designers of the U.S. Department of Agriculture had to estimate the amount of product the consumers would buy at the supported price. They then had to translate that amount into the total number of acres the farmers would have to plant to provide that farm product. The total acreage then had to be apportioned among states, counties, and down to the individual farmers. Oops! They could never make it come out right, because all their planning did not reduce the surpluses. The acreage reduction did not result in proportionate decline in production. Some farmers would include their worst land in the allotment and save out their best land to continue to grow their crops. Now they had even more money to purchase better seed, take advantage of pesticides and enriched fertilizers, and buy the newest farm equipment. All of that increased and enhanced their output per acre. It did not shrink the surpluses. Additionally, farmers who did not go along with the subsidies stayed out of the program and bought up more acreage and planted more in anticipation of the artificially increased overall prices that would be paid. The surpluses continued to grow.

Oh, what’s to be done? What’s to be done? The surpluses continued to build and the payments used to not grow crops kept increasing. Octave Broussard and his friend Bordeau continued to make money for not raising hogs and money for not growing corn that was not fed to the hogs that they were not raising!

Governments that ignore basic economic principles like supply and demand; scarcity, choice and cost; and the efficiency of the free market, in order to manipulate a nation’s culture for their own greed, have a difficult time making the intended results all come out right. Eventually, those governments step on the neck of the goose that has been laying the golden eggs of the economy.

Next Week: Well, Try Messing with the Demand 

        (Research ideas from Dr. Jackson's new writing project on Cultural Economics)
    
© Dr. James W. Jackson   
Permissions granted by Winston-Crown Publishing House
  
www.drjameswjackson.com

Dr. James W. Jackson often describes himself as "The Happiest Man in the World." A successful businessman, award-winning author and humanitarian, Jackson is also a renowned Cultural Economist and international consultant, helping organizations and governments to apply sound economic principals to the transformation of culture so that everyone is "better off."

As the founder of Project C.U.R.E., Dr. Jackson traveled to more than one hundred fifty countries assessing healthcare facilities, meeting with government leaders and "delivering health and hope" in the form of medical supplies and equipment to the world's most needy people. Literally thousands of people are alive today as a direct result of the tireless efforts of Project C.U.R.E.'s staff, volunteers and Dr. Jackson. 

To contact Dr. Jackson, or to book him for an interview or speaking engagement: press@winstoncrown.com

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

SYSTEMS MATTER Part 10:The Magic of Free Enterprise

Founder, Project C.U.R.E.
Author, The Happiest Man in the World: Life Lessons from a Cultural Economist


By the early 1990s, I was spending a lot of time in the Marxist/Communist countries of the world: Cuba, Russia, North Korea, Romania, and even the philosophically tainted countries of South America. In the Soviet Union, members of the average household spent nearly forty hours per week standing in lines attempting to procure just the basic necessities for the family.

In places like Ukraine I would occasionally stand in lines with my new friends just to see what it felt like to participate in the economic debacle of Marx, Engles, Lenin, and Trotsky. We would line up behind the old faded blue military flat-bed trucks, draped with a swatch of gray canvas, and wait our turn to have a government comrade hand down the loaves of bread or canned vegetables . . . if they still had any left.

Marx and Lenin had not only scoffed at, but had officially outlawed, anything that even smacked of free market, free enterprise, or portrayed the slightest capitalistic nuance. With that stance they negated any advantage of market-generated information that would have helped guide them with their economy.

There was no concept of economic growth or production. They had squelched any intrinsic market signals and had shut off any built-in factors for motivation and incentive to help the economic system run smoothly. They had locked themselves into a system that glorified mediocrity and stymied excellence. That was the price they were paying so that they could retain absolute control over a centralized economic system of redistribution. They really believed that they could figure it all out by themselves and control the attitudes and actions of millions of individual workers in their centralized system. But, they could never get it right.
  • The flash of genius regarding the magic of prices had been observed and written down by Adam Smith, and it had been available to the socialists for a hundred years. Its efficiency had been well documented and not hidden at all from the public. Smith had recognized that the prices that emerged from individuals entering into voluntary transactions in a free market could silently coordinate the activities of millions of people almost immediately. Each individual would be seeking the area of his own interest, but his actions would result in an experience of unintended consequences where everybody ended up better off. Those transactions sent silent signals out to the entire economic system. Those signals guided the actions of the other individuals in the economic system so that they could make enlightened decisions on their own without the necessity of any politburo or centralized Marxist Gosplan telling them what to do.
In Milton Friedman’s bestselling book, Free to Choose, he brilliantly explains the three elements of Prices: Prices perform three functions in organizing economic activity. First, they transmit information; second, they provide an incentive to adopt those methods of production that are least costly and thereby use available resources for the most highly valued purposes; third, they determine who gets how much of the product – the distribution of income. These three functions are closely interrelated. (1)

Prices are the nervous system of the free enterprise economy. Individuals like to buy at the lowest price possible, and sell at the highest price possible. At some point there is a mark where the seller is willing to sell his product and the buyer is willing to buy the product, and each feels that he is coming out of the deal better off. If that mark cannot be struck, then the deal fails to be consummated. If agreement is made, then price for the product or service has been established. Additionally, the successful transaction encourages the individuals to pursue yet more transactions in order to feel better off again and again, thus expanding the total economy.

In experiencing the Gosplan in action in the old Soviet Union, I observed that there were constantly surpluses of the wrong things and shortages of the things needed. In Armenia, my new friends at the shoe factory pointed out that the Gosplan would try to figure out how many comrades needed to plant enough hectares in hay to feed enough horses and cattle to provide sufficient leather hides to be delivered to the shoe factory for the making of military boots. They always got it wrong somewhere along the line. They would experience a drought (that was always one of their favorite excuses for failure) where there was not enough water to grow sufficient hay for feed, or they would grow so many tons of hay that it would spoil or mold and have to be discarded.

In a free enterprise economic system we do not observe many incidents of surplus or shortage or inconsistent availability of products. Prices make that happen. That is because prices balance the demand for goods and services with their supply. The quantity that the consumers want to purchase is assured to match the quantity producers want to sell. The balance between supply and demand is no accident. Prices make it come out right each time . . . unless there is interference by some control-seeking government entity. Even in times of economic upset or disaster, goods and services are available at the present market price.

To pursue our shoe factory example, let’s return to the Soviet Union’s Gosplan and see how it differs from an economic system of free enterprise. If a retailer needs to purchase from the open market certain numbers and styles of shoes in order to advertise and sell them from his spring shoe catalogue, he may contact a shoe manufacturer and enter into an agreement to purchase said shoes to be delivered to a certain location by a certain date for a certain price. Each party is free to enter into such an agreement. As soon as the shoe manufacturer commits to fill the order for the retailer, he immediately secures the necessary leather to fill the order.

But, let’s say the manufacturer is dilatory and waits for a period of time to purchase the leather. And in the meantime there is a drought, (or some other kind of impediment in the leather supply). Immediately information goes out into the marketplace regarding the shortage of leather, and the cost of the remaining available leather supply goes up. But leather is still available at the new price. The cattle growers in Texas receive the free information and may decide to not sell the entire cow to their beef steak market in Japan, but, rather, butcher the cattle in Texas and save the leather hides to sell to the shoe industry, and just send the custom steaks to Japan that year. The cattleman’s neighbor hears of the leather shortage and decides that next year he will switch his ranch operation from growing sorghum to raising cattle, because the selling price of leather has increased sufficiently and he now has an opportunity to make a handsome profit.

The prices of shoes for the spring season are going to go up. There will not be a shortage of shoes, but the potential customers will have to make a decision as to whether or not they want to pay a higher price. Since the company with the spring shoe catalogue has a firm contract with the manufacturer for the leather products at a lower price, he stands to make a better profit from raising his shoe prices, or he has an edge on the market and can afford to sell his shoes faster at a lower price than his competitors who had to increase all their prices because of the increased leather costs.

But the manufacturer now has to scramble and find some leather available at the price that existed when he signed his contract with the retailer, or he will experience a sad loss.

The manufacturer grabs the Wall Street Journal and turns to the commodity price page in search of leather. All this information is free and available in the open marketplace. He locates a leather supplier in Brazil who is willing to sell him the leather at the previous year’s price and even assume part of the shipping costs. The manufacturer has covered his potential losses and can fulfill his contract with the spring shoe catalogue. All that information exchange and human initiative happened almost instantaneously, without needing to be gathered, sorted, and distributed to everybody in the economy. Everyone had access to all the information, but those who did not have a personal interest in the leather or shoe industry could simply ignore the information and go on with their own interests. There is no way in God’s green earth that all that could have taken place under Gosplan!

Of course, all the cattle ranchers who jumped in to raise more cattle and sell the leather at the increased prices, now have the prerogative of going back to raising sorghum. But everybody in the system had the right to pursue his or her desires to become better off. Everybody in the system had instant and pertinent information available making it possible to pursue those free choices.

Nothing has ever been designed to match the efficiency of free enterprise. That is because nobody designed the free market. Nobody manages the free market. Nobody controls the free market. It is a phenomenon that registers thousands of personal preferences in a nanosecond.

It can deliver information that can peg the market value of a million different products all at the same time. It can inform people in every corner of the earth what to produce, when to produce it, how much to produce, and how much to buy at any given time. It can even let you know where to go to search out job opportunities within your scope of interest. If none of that information is pertinent to you . . . you can simply ignore all of it!

All of that instant information is not mined, gathered, filtered, stored and made available by one individual or one big box superstore of technology. All that collaborative wisdom is freely made available and is the result of millions of individuals working in union with one another while seeking to be better off within the scope of their own interest.

The anomaly tagged as free market that operates within the phenomenon of free enterprise just simply exists in all of its sophistication wherever individuals exist who have been granted freedom of choice in areas of culture and economics. Those are the individuals who have a deep desire to end up better off. That phenomenon of free enterprise is a precious gift to the world!

Next Week: SYSTEMS MATTER Part 11: Profit and Loss
  •  Profits
  •  Losses
  •  Wages
          (Research ideas from Dr. Jackson’s new writing project on Cultural Economics) 

© Dr. James W. Jackson   
Permissions granted by Winston-Crown Publishing House
  
www.jameswjackson.com 

Dr. James W. Jackson often describes himself as "The Happiest Man in the World." A successful businessman, award-winning author and humanitarian, Jackson is also a renowned Cultural Economist and international consultant, helping organizations and governments to apply sound economic principals to the transformation of culture so that everyone is "better off."

As the founder of Project C.U.R.E., Dr. Jackson traveled to more than one hundred fifty countries assessing healthcare facilities, meeting with government leaders and "delivering health and hope" in the form of medical supplies and equipment to the world's most needy people. Literally thousands of people are alive today as a direct result of the tireless efforts of Project C.U.R.E.'s staff, volunteers and Dr. Jackson. 

To contact Dr. Jackson, or to book him for an interview or speaking engagement: press@winstoncrown.com